Analyses, interpretation and reporting limits

Start here · Windows guide · 日本語の操作・結果の読み方

Use this page to choose an analysis and understand what its results can support. It describes the Web application and the desktop preview documented in this source branch. The desktop preview includes RSM/PCM, bias diagnostics, selected intervals, joint interactions and G/D studies; it is not yet a general desktop release. The published Web release and this desktop preview do not have identical controls or export formats.

Choose the analysis for your question

QuestionAnalysisWhat to distinguish
How do person measures, rater severity and task difficulty compare?Many-facet RSM or PCMRSM shares category steps. PCM allows separate steps for levels of the chosen step facet. A main rater effect is not a rater-by-task interaction.
Does a particular combination of facet levels differ from the main-effects pattern?Conditional bias diagnosticsThese hold the original calibration fixed. They identify patterns to investigate, without confirming the presence or absence of bias.
What is the uncertainty in a facet level or a planned difference?Specified structural intervals for fixed-SD MMLOnly targets passing the checks receive intervals. A difference uses the full covariance, not the sum of marginal SEs.
What happens when an interaction is fitted together with main effects and steps?Desktop joint interaction analysisThis refits a separate model. It does not turn the fixed-calibration diagnostic into a joint test.
How would numbers of raters or tasks affect score reliability?G study and D studyThese use observed scores and a declared random-facet design, not the MFRM logit scale.

The Web interface also provides advanced workflows such as bounded GPCM, latent regression, anchors and linking review, residual PCA, prediction and simulation. Their availability does not establish that every displayed statistic can support inference. Read the explanation for the selected output.

Estimation and standard errors

JMLE jointly estimates person and facet parameters. Desktop MML uses EM with a fixed normal population SD; the SD is a setting, not an estimated result. The Web interface offers additional MML controls, including optional population SD estimation, whose uncertainty and model-ranking uses remain unavailable.

A standard error must be interpreted for its stated target and method. Conditional-information errors hold other parameters fixed. Structural observed-information errors use a covariance calculation for the model parameters. An MML person's EAP posterior SD describes a posterior distribution with calibration fixed; it is not the ML standard error of a structural effect. Do not treat these quantities as interchangeable because each is labelled SE.

The application does not support inferential use of general MML tables, Person-score uncertainty, estimated population-SD uncertainty or automatic equivalence conclusions. Selected structural intervals have the separate, limited scope below. An available selected interval does not remove the restrictions on other outputs.

Specified structural intervals

For supported unit-weight, fixed-SD RSM/PCM analyses, this output provides pointwise asymptotic normal intervals for selected levels of a non-person facet and a prespecified difference. It uses the full structural covariance.

The calculation checks termination, identification, parameter boundaries, observed information and sensitivity to quadrature settings. These checks assess numerical suitability. They do not prove that the response model fits the population, give a strict quadrature error bound, or guarantee finite-sample coverage.

The approximation assumes the specified response model and fixed normal population, independent persons, ignorable assignment/missingness, an identified interior parameter and growing information. It does not provide simultaneous intervals, Person-score intervals or a test of equivalence.

The English and Japanese Web guides explain selecting, saving and rechecking these intervals. In Desktop, register the requests in Settings → Bias / intervals before running the analysis.

Bias diagnostics and joint interactions

Conditional bias diagnostics describe cells with the original calibration held fixed. Sparse cells, extreme scores and disconnected rating designs can limit what can be estimated or compared. Displayed diagnostic values do not establish statistical significance, absence of bias or assessment fairness.

The desktop joint-interaction option fits main effects, steps and one selected structural-facet interaction together in a separate RSM/PCM model. It uses unit weights and a normal person population fixed at mean 0 and SD 1. Eligible requested cells and prespecified contrasts receive pointwise approximate Wald intervals and p values. Holm adjustment applies to the recorded family of requested tests; it does not make the intervals simultaneous.

This model assumes independent persons, the stated response/population model, ignorable assignment/missingness and an identified interior solution with growing information. Numerical checks are not a finite-sample error-rate guarantee. An interaction is evidence about the fitted model, not a verdict about fairness or a person. The original main-effects results remain separate.

G studies and D studies

The supported design is completely crossed and balanced, with one or two random facets besides the object of measurement, at least two levels of each factor, one observation per cell and unit observation weights. Missing or repeated cells and unsupported designs produce a reason rather than an unsupported coefficient.

G describes relative decisions and Phi describes absolute decisions. The D study changes planned numbers of observations under the stated design and population assumptions. Negative estimated variance components are shown alongside the zero-clipped components used for the coefficients. A coefficient alone does not establish an acceptable assessment or validate a future design.

The desktop G/D entry uses the original observed scores without requiring an MFRM fit. Multivariate G-theory and uncertainty intervals for G/Phi are not implemented. These restrictions also apply when G/D is requested alongside MFRM.

When a result cannot support inference

Read the message for the particular table or figure.

range, missingness or design problem. For example, unrelated rating groups may lack a common scale. Keep the original data and document any change.

and extreme scores. A finite displayed estimate or an optimizer stopping flag does not establish valid inference.

established that use for this output. Repeatedly changing the data or rerunning the same settings does not resolve that limitation.

which analysis the displayed output belongs to. Reopened results retain the saved values but are checked against current output-specific rules.

A blank SE or interval means it is unavailable, not zero. Do not infer equality, absence of bias or a reliable ranking from missing uncertainty or a non-significant result. Use an eligible dedicated output only within its stated scope.

Comparing programs and reporting results

Match the model, data, weights, constraints, population distribution, scoring method and numerical settings before comparing software.

In particular, this application's non-person PTMEA/PtMeaCorr correlates observed scores with person measures. FACETS PtMea uses the signed sum of measures for each observation. They are different diagnostics. The application's RSM/PCM fit ZSTD follows a FACETS-style fourth-moment/Wilson–Hilferty convention with an absolute cap of 9; the GPCM adaptation is approximate. Agreement in one diagnostic does not establish equivalence of the programs.

AIC/AICc/BIC, model-choice LR values and automatic model recommendations remain restricted to technical review. Residual PCA is a diagnostic requiring attention to sparse observations, overlap and stability, not an automatic dimensionality decision. Simulations describe their specified data-generating conditions; they do not validate a different empirical design.

When reporting, retain the model, estimator, constraints, scoring rubric, population-SD treatment, analysis version, uncertainty method and relevant limitations. Preserve captions and notes with exported figures and tables. Software citation does not replace citations for the statistical methods.

Implementation references for technical readers: output rules, structural intervals, joint interactions, G/D calculations. The FACETS comparison states the conditions and limits of its numerical checks.